Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 72.877347 82.046869 91.403904 101.634333 112.473678 123.586837 135.812815
2025-11-23 57.552587 70.608223 84.527199 100.338077 117.674913 135.993880 156.704312
2025-11-30 49.839986 65.180764 82.060158 101.739794 123.805406 147.563338 174.866372
2025-12-07 44.088423 61.114985 80.381446 103.347577 129.574255 158.238859 191.603265
2025-12-14 38.011566 55.976365 76.889917 102.363584 131.961324 164.759711 203.376694
2025-12-21 32.406749 50.843502 72.937676 100.425735 132.894252 169.338204 212.699279
2025-12-28 30.390245 49.940562 73.859777 104.057515 140.124805 180.952868 229.862609
2026-01-04 27.852979 48.122037 73.471376 105.961204 145.203249 190.000960 244.026677
2026-01-11 24.535111 44.981772 71.212450 105.406447 147.218270 195.386246 253.893258
2026-01-18 21.620017 42.130530 69.123425 104.894311 149.147863 200.563746 263.428578
2026-01-25 19.439432 40.117536 67.976151 105.438135 152.257453 207.052471 274.424555
2026-02-01 17.021564 37.539398 65.923102 104.706671 153.708815 211.502092 282.977329
2026-02-08 15.108592 35.575277 64.616594 104.893217 156.289430 217.327204 293.208485
2026-02-15 12.995105 33.087831 62.451307 103.859716 157.279648 221.198291 301.105469
2026-02-22 11.819907 32.002138 62.167784 105.235680 161.238199 228.608256 313.164697
2026-03-01 10.829734 31.128162 62.123284 106.883733 165.508689 236.376452 325.639342
2026-03-08 9.237982 29.019095 60.170007 105.879273 166.343251 239.917187 333.033233
2026-03-15 7.593004 26.581470 57.585150 103.904748 165.849990 241.768937 338.350090
2026-03-22 7.379942 26.878872 59.126936 107.605565 172.679403 252.625293 354.504909
2026-03-29 6.804529 26.384556 59.416731 109.545056 177.210760 260.641577 367.235970
2026-04-05 5.779955 24.817787 57.957061 108.979897 178.436574 264.539071 374.967920
2026-04-12 4.874275 23.352445 56.571931 108.458138 179.674306 268.419383 382.655132
2026-04-19 4.244119 22.407318 55.968723 109.012180 182.303939 274.018128 392.421014